The EUR/USD currency pair
- Prev Open: 1.1832
- Prev Close: 1.1761
- % chg. over the last day: -0.60%
The EUR/USD currency pair sharply fell by 0.60% and broke through the priority change level with the release of the non-farm news on Friday. The European currency has gained an extremely weak position now. There are no important events scheduled in Europe until the end of August (vacation season), so it’s the US policy that will mainly influence the European currency.
- Support levels: 1.1754, 1.1609
- Resistance levels: 1.1799, 1.1817, 1.1854, 1.1894, 1.1934, 1.1969
From a technical point of view, the general trend on the EUR/USD currency pair has changed to bearish. The price went below the moving average; the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone, but with no signs of a reversal. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for sell trades from the resistance levels, but after a slight upward correction since the price has deviated strongly from the middle line. Buy trades can only be considered throughout the day and only with confirmation in the form of a bullish initiative.
Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.1854 resistance level and fixes above, the mid-term uptrend is likely to resume.
- – US FOMC Member Bostic Speaks at 17:00 (GMT+3);
- – JOLTs Job Openings (m/m) at 17:00 (GMT+3);
- – US FOMC Member Barkin Speaks at 19:00 (GMT+3).
The GBP/USD currency pair
- Prev Open: 1.3926
- Prev Close: 1.3872
- % chg. over the last day: -0.39%
Unlike the euro, the British pound gained a more confident position. Despite the decline in the price, the British pound remained in an uptrend. The fundamental picture for the UK is now positive, so with any weakness in the dollar index, the British currency will continue to strengthen.
- Support levels: 1.3825, 1.3772, 1.3714, 1.3676 ,1.3641, 1.3614, 1.3525
- Resistance levels: 1.3886, 1.3935, 1.4002, 1.4075, 1.4101
On the hour timeframe, the trend of the GBP/USD currency pair is bullish. The price left the trading range in a downward direction, but if it returns to the indicated corridor, the price will immediately head to the 1.3935 resistance level. The MACD indicator went into the negative zone, but there are signs of a hidden divergence. Under such market conditions, traders are better to look for buy trades after breaking the resistance level of 1.3885. Sell positions can be considered from the resistance levels, but only on intraday timeframes, and only with short targets.
Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.3714 support level and consolidates below, the bearish scenario is likely to resume.
The USD/JPY currency pair
- Prev Open: 109.76
- Prev Close: 110.22
- % chg. over the last day: +0.42%
The Japanese Yen is losing momentum. Considering the dollar index growth, the USD/JPY currency pair increased by another 0.42%, breaking through the priority change level and changing the medium-term trend. The economists forecast a slowdown in economic growth for the third quarter in Japan, so with the continued dynamics of the dollar index, the rate of USD/JPY will tend to rise.
- Support levels: 109.88, 109.43, 109.19, 108.65
- Resistance levels: 110.34, 110.56
The main trend on the USD/JPY currency pair has changed to bullish. The MACD indicator is in the oversold zone but with no signs of a reversal. Under such market conditions, it is better to look for buy positions after a small pullback downwards because the price has strongly deviated from the moving average now. Sell positions should be considered only on the lower timeframes from the resistance level and only with short targets.
Alternative scenario: if the price falls below 109.19, the uptrend is likely to be broken.
The USD/CAD currency pair
- Prev Open: 1.2489
- Prev Close: 1.2551
- % chg. over the last day: +0.50%
The Canadian dollar is highly dependent on the dollar index and the oil price dynamics. On Friday, the dollar index increased while oil prices fell, which caused the rise in the USD/CAD currency pair. According to the Bureau of Statistics, the unemployment rate fell to its lowest level since March this year, to 7.5% (previous 7.8%), while the economy introduced more than 94,000 jobs. But there is still a long way to go before reaching the level of 5.5% (February 2020).
- Support levels: 1.2518, 1.2471, 1.2425, 1.2370, 1.2312
- Resistance levels: 1.2602, 1.2671, 1.2787, 1,2951
Considering technical analysis, the USD/CAD trend is bearish. The price is above the moving average, the MACD indicator is positive, but there are signs of a hidden divergence. Under such market conditions, traders should look for sell positions from the resistance levels after sellers show initiative. Traders should consider buy positions from the support levels and only on intraday timeframes.
Alternative scenario: if the price breaks through the 1.2671 resistance level and fixes above, the uptrend is likely to be resumed.
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This article reflects a personal opinion and should not be interpreted as an investment advice, and/or offer, and/or a persistent request for carrying out financial transactions, and/or a guarantee, and/or a forecast of future events.Open Account